I am no political analyst but here are my thoughts why Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay is leading the vice-presidential race.
1. He was focused in his campaign. He spent the entire three months campaining to become vice-president. Sen. Mar Roxas on the other hand was sidetracked by Sen. Aquino's bid for presidency. I think most of the efforts of his party was on Sen. Aquino because they wanted him to win so badly. Sen. Roxas was leading the surveys for the longest time and they probably thought that his closest rival will not be able to catch up.
2. There are a lot of people working in Makati and a lot of them are not really from Makati. Some are from the provinces. Naturally, these employees see what Mayor Binay does for the people of Makati and surely, when they go home, they share these stories with their relatives and friends. They may not have campaigned for him but their good stories about the Mayor helped.
3. Mayor Binay is number one in the ballot. This definitely had its effect in the results. The effect may be small but but in a closely contested race such as this, every small thing counts. Many may say that ones position in the ballot has no significant effect but I say otherwise. Why do you think many party list groups chose names that start with A? They all wanted to be first on the list. And why do you think that during the early parts of the counting when the reporters still read votes for the disqualified candidate Acosta there were precincts where he got one or two votes while Perlas, delos Reyes and even Madrigal got nothing? Because he was number one in the ballot. There are people who cannot read so they probably just shaded the first circle on the list.
These are just my thoughts about the VP race. I dont know what the experts will say but I think some of these make sense.
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